Skipper Pat Cummins has admitted that his participation in the first Ashes Test appears unlikely due to persistent fitness concerns.
Media speculation from Australia had suggested that Cummins might be ruled out of the entire series, though the fast bowler himself has now given a more comprehensive update on his situation.
The 32-year-old has been battling with a back stress injury that has prevented his participation since his last professional game in July.
While Cummins has resumed running exercises, he has yet to commence bowling as part of his rehabilitation program.
"It's difficult to assign a percentage on it, but I'd say probably less likely than likely," commented Cummins. "We get into begins next week, so probably a couple of weeks away from wearing the spikes and delivering on turf."
Team mentor Andrew McDonald had earlier suggested that Cummins would need a bare minimum of four weeks of bowling preparation to have any chance of featuring in the first Test, set to begin on November 21.
Cummins echoed this assessment, clarifying: "It's necessary to have at least probably a month in the nets. If you play a Test match, you want to make certain you're able to bowl 20 overs in a day without concern."
Given the compressed timeframe, there are also doubts about Cummins' fitness for the following match in Brisbane on December 4.
Should Cummins be unavailable, former captain Steve Smith is expected to lead the side, with Scott Boland potentially filling the gap in the pace department.
The hosts have retained the Ashes urn since 2018, while The visitors are without a Test victory in Australia since 2011.
Cummins' current injury concerns echo challenges from earlier in his successful career. He made his Test first appearance as an 18-year-old in 2011 against South Africa, becoming the second-youngest player to take a five-wicket haul in an innings at that time.
However, his impressive debut proved to be a false dawn, as Cummins experienced six years before his next match due to repeated stress fractures in his spine.
When healthy, Cummins has proven himself as one of cricket's premier fast bowlers. The experienced campaigner has taken 309 Test wickets at an remarkable average of 22.10.
His record in Australia is even more formidable, with 177 wickets at 19.92, while he has taken 91 wickets against England in just 19 matches.
In the latest Ashes series in 2023, Cummins played in all five Tests, taking 18 wickets and establishing his importance to the Australian side.
As skipper, Cummins enjoyed a successful 2023, taking six wickets in Australia's triumphant World Test Championship final and excelling in their 50-over World Cup final win against India.
He remains the only leader in Test history to win the World Test Championship, World Cup, and an Ashes series.
England also face their own fitness concerns with captain Ben Stokes, who has been affected by a shoulder injury since the Test series against India.
Both teams will be monitoring their key players closely as the highly anticipated Ashes series approaches.
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